Newsletter By 2019-06-01
After Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on Chinese goods that triggered retaliation in China, the trade conflict between the two countries escalated rapidly, and the market concluded that "the US-China trade negotiations have died". What Anbound economists observed is, the deteriorating US-China trade negotiations are still likely to resume and restore the status quo, and possible to reach an agreement. The deterioration of the U.S.-China trade tensions may lead to a global economic downturn. Both countries must calm down, consider the impact on the global economy, and restore the rationality in order to continue trade negotiations and work hard to reach an agreement.
>>The US crackdown on Huawei is a reckless challenge to the principles of the market economy. It is also an act which undermines the law, and disrespects market rules and fairness. Anbound industry researchers explored that the core of the real problem lies in the rules of the market economy. What the US government is doing now is basically strongly intervening in the market with its executive orders. In order to come up with a rational response to the US crackdown, China needs to grasp the core of the incident and find more support from parties that share the same position in the world, thus break through the containment of the United States.
>>Anbound’s researchers state that to perfect the mechanism of delisting and strengthen the “metabolism” of the stock market is to simultaneously strengthen the systemic ability of the stock market and allow the stock market to manifest a positive mechanism. It helps purify the market environment, optimize the allocation of resources, effectively improving the market mechanism. The regulators have kept a tighter supervisory leash on listed companies, and there is the gradual improvement of the delisting mechanism. Only with the perfection of the system to delist on capital markets, in addition to the gradual formation of market mechanisms and achieving the “metabolism” of the capital market, can China really realize the long term stability brought about by an efficient allocation of financial resources.
>>The trade dispute initiated by the United States has significantly changed the external environment of China's reform and opening-up. Although in appearance the trade dispute is targeting China, it is more to act as a brake on global overproduction. Early in 2015, Anbound’s chief researcher Chen Gong wrote that urbanization and infrastructure construction will lead to excessive production and a surge in the injection of money. This in turn will create a large amount of inventory and debt, possibly leading to an economic crisis. Overproduction not only affects the global market relations, but also the competitive relationship between countries in the global market. The main huge challenge is to form social consensus on reform and opening-up, and persist in its initiatives and actions of reform and opening-up, and getting integrated into the global economic system. Secondly, China's development coincides with the global economy in the "sellers’ world". These collectively made up the driving force for the Chinese economy to maintain long-term rapid growth. Understanding this structural change is crucial for China to come up with policy choices for its future efforts in reform and opening-up.
>>The Chinese governments, financial institutions, and businesses are required to joint efforts to take advantage of diversified capital to spur economic innovation and diffuse fundraising woes impeding small business development. According to Anbound financial research, the main issue with SME fundraising does not pertain to China. Instead, it's a globalized financial challenge. Developed economies would also rack their minds to give their domestic SMEs "blood transfusions" through non-market methods including technology, industry, and employment subsidies.
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