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Tuesday, February 25, 2025
The German Election and the Future of Europe
Kung Chan

The real foundation of politics lies in the "problems", and whether or not these problems can be solved is the true test. It has frequently been said that the support for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party in the eastern part of the country is due to the poor economic situation there. However, if we look at the issue more simply and directly, the real problem in Germany is the outsourcing of productivity. A large number of companies have invested all over the world, while reducing production in Germany. The result is unemployment, a relative decline in income, a lack of growth opportunities, and the arrival of a large number of immigrants, which only exacerbates these issues.

Left-wing parties really cannot solve these problems because they are the promoters and advocates of globalization. This is how they have developed, and any change would demand a total transformation, which means both the individuals and the organizations would cease to exist. As for the center-right, they are incapable of resolving the issues as well. They can only delay or copy what others have done. For example, the Union parties, which won the majority in this election, have reproduced many of the AfD's positions. However, ultimately, they still cannot solve the problem. They can only delay it, but that means the issue persists. If they completely replicate, then the Union parties would become indistinguishable from the AfD.

Clearly, to solve the problem, more extreme measures must be taken, and the level of extremism may be similar to that of the Trump administration in the U.S. Otherwise, how could German business communities voluntarily return from regions with cheaper labor to Germany? More importantly, adopting these extreme measures is not just a matter of determination and call to action. It involves a more complex and universal political structure, organizational systems, and even social movements. It is essential to have authority to make it happen. In fact, all these things are what the current establishment parties do not want to shake. The establishment parties, after all, are ultimately part of the establishment. It is precisely because they support the establishment that they receive its support. This means they will inevitably coexist with the establishment until its demise. Hence, generally speaking, those who can do this are the anti-establishment forces, which typically exist at the far-right end of the political spectrum, just like the AfD in Germany.

Once we understand this, it becomes clear that the German election is not just a German issue; it is a window into European politics, opening the way for the future. Europe's issues will inevitably be solved by the far-right end of the political spectrum. Like it or not, that will be the case.

The main issue for Europe in the coming decades will be its inability to continue developing and expanding. Instead, it will undergo reorganization and restructuring, paying a significant social cost for this highly internally conflicting process.

This is, of course, a process of convergence, but it is the inevitable consequence of deglobalization. Whether we accept it or not, this is the reality. Deglobalization affects millions of families. It is not just a concept but a world, whether we understand this or not, this is simply the way it is.

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