Just very recently there is news that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar is dead. So far, the entire leadership of Hamas has been eliminated. The impact of these two ongoing wars on the world is immense. One is the war in Ukraine, where Russia relies entirely on a strategy of overwhelming numbers to suppress Ukraine, but Ukraine has showcased remarkable drone tactics. The other is the war in Gaza, where Israel has demonstrated the extreme effectiveness of targeted assassination tactics. Essentially, these two wars show us how warfare will look like in the future.

What happened in Ukraine tells the world that the era of unmanned warfare has arrived; and that the strategy of overwhelming numbers is no longer a reliable method for the weak to defeat the strong. Israel informs the world that mass movements and authoritarian centralized governments are no longer frightening.

Frankly, I have some sympathy for Hamas. They are a group of highly educated intellectuals, principled, efficient, idealists, and adherents of Islamism, practicing a mass movement derived from Chinese theory. Unfortunately, a strategic error led to their complete defeat. In the past, they launched rockets and harassed Israel, and Israel did not retaliate significantly; they even continued funding for Palestine and Gaza. So, they believed that a massacre of Israelis would not provoke a strong response, but they did not anticipate that it would infuriate Israel to this extent. This mistake resulted in their total loss of Gaza.

These two wars share a common conclusion: all authoritarian centralized regimes fear war because they are bound to lose.

In the past, when studying the Prussian general Vom Kriege's work On War, I reached the conclusion that "the victory or defeat of a war is decided at an office desk". Today, more evidence supports the correctness of this conclusion. We are about to enter an era of "unmanned warfare", which may become even more obvious in the future.

This era is, in fact, more terrifying. The side with the right technology will easily achieve overwhelming victory. Thus, almost everyone will understand that such a war is unwise to initiate. Instead, there will be a clear division into camps engaging in "comprehensive covert wars" where long-term information operations and intelligence warfare replace traditional conflict.