The domestic political situation
in Ukraine is becoming increasingly unfavorable for Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The
Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada representative Oleksandr Dubinsky had his residence
raided by the SBU for making derogatory remarks about Zelenskyy and his chief
of staff Andriy Yermak. This indicates that Zelenskyy's standing in the country
is highly sensitive. Various political forces may hope that in next year's
Ukrainian elections, Zelenskyy will have an opportunity to step down
"normally", thus opening the door to negotiations with Russia.
The vulnerability and growing
unreliability of the European Union are evident. EU official Josep Borrell
warns Ukraine that ammunition is limited. Borrell, the EU's top diplomat,
states that the bloc “might not meet the delivery target of one million shells
for Ukraine”. The EU has already provided Ukraine with over 300,000 shells. In
contrast, Russia has just acquired one million shells from North Korea.
Due to the
EU's fragile performance, it is now almost certain that Ukraine will lose all
its "dependencies" – the EU, NATO, and Poland – unless the United
States shows impressive leadership. In this situation, it is worrisome to
consider whether Ukraine might resort to some "out-of-the-box"
actions, such as causing a massive nuclear leak in Europe, leading to a
collective disaster for all.