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Monday, December 06, 2021
Judgment and Prediction: Possibility of Improvement of U.S.-China Relations in Short-Term
Chan Kung

There has been an online opinion circulating in China's cyberspace that the U.S.-China relations cannot remain too tense as the Chinese side has reset its tone. This view suggests that the differences, including the ideological differences and contradictions between the two countries should not be widen. Such opinion is quite encouraging to those who wish to see the improvement of the U.S.-China relations, and it gives them hope that the relationship of the two countries could return to what it previously was.

However, reality presents a different scenario. The prospect proposed by such opinion does not appear to possess the possibility to be realized. Geopolitics and international relations are fields that are determined by recent affairs, and such affairs play a crucial role in deciding the situational development. Consider the tense confrontations in the U.S.-China meeting in Alaska, the sanctions and counter-sanctions imposed on and by the U.S. and Australia, as well as the "hostage incident" between Canada and China, all these are still affecting the current U.S.-China relations, and their impacts certainly cannot be ignored. Such events, as the outcome of actions and measures taken by one side or another, will certainly generate certain consequences; one should not assume that there will be no aftereffects merely because these matters are over.

Looking back at China decades ago, its reputation and trust in the world were gradually established through its hard works. At that time, the differences and confrontations experienced by China were much greater than that of today, but the Chinese leadership still managed to make tremendous and sustained efforts. It took decades of such efforts to allow China gaining credibility and trust. This was a difficult task, but it was accomplished nonetheless. Chinese leaders back then, including Deng Xiaoping, had forged good relationships with business communities from the U.S. to Hong Kong through regular meetings, discussions, or even hosting banquets. Such acts of friendship were meticulously taken to make China favorable in the eyes of the world.

In geopolitics and international relations, it would be wishful thinking for a nation to assume that others would unconditionally follow its decisions. All in all, there are terms and rules to be followed, and this is the basic requirement in our modern world, else the matters could move to the undesirable side.

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