ANBOUND: World Economy Getting Worse, Or China Getting Better?
ANBOUND
International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its latest report, World Economic Outlook on April 12.
The IMF lowered its forecast on global economic growth to 1.9% and 2.0% for 2016 and 2017 respectively but nudged China's growth forecast for 2016 and 2017slightly higher.
ANBOUND's research team expects a relatively favorable environment for China’s economy to take shape because: -
(i)The West might be fully exposed to turmoil in its economy and financial market;
(ii)China might introduce more favorable policies in the second half of year;
(iii)The investment in China might increase substantially.
The aforementioned factors highlight the relative value of China and this might create short-term opportunities for China’s economy and capital market, it is possible that the economic growth in China this year might be higher than the expected 6.5%.