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Friday, August 14, 2015
Chan Kung: The Central Bank Probably Under-estimated the Impacts of RMB Devaluation
ANBOUND

Anbound's chief researcher, Chan Kung is of the view that the recent adjustments to the exchange rate formation mechanism will give rise to the following impacts: -

(i)RMB might not be stabilized at all;

(ii)The possibly limited impact on China’s manufacturing sector;

(iii)It is highly possible that there might be tax rise after the devaluation of RMB ;

(iv)The internationalization of RMB could be affected greatly;

(v)Overseas investment and tourism will be affected;

(vi)The implementation of the Belt and Road initiative will be affected; and

(vii)The USD-denominated debt for Chinese enterprises will increase.

It is highly likely that the central bank has under-estimated the impacts brought by RMB devaluation.

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