Newsletter By 2019-08-04
The recent frequent layoffs in the European banking industry have highlighted its vulnerability in the post-crisis era. The European Central Bank has clearly stated that in order to support economic growth, it may further introduce easing policies and even cut interest rates further. Long-term negative interest rates have seriously affected the profitability of the European banking industry, and should the interest rates fall further, the impact on these banks would be even greater. As these banks get into trouble, they would also affect the lending behavior of enterprises, which could in turn drag down the growth of the entire European economy and thus turning these events into a vicious cycle. If this shock continues to expand, it may trigger a new round of global economic crisis.
>>In view of trade friction between Japan and South Korea, in addition to geopolitical factors analyzed earlier by ANBOUND, identity politics have an increasing impact on bilateral relations between the two countries. Identity politics are crucial to the future success of Japan and South Korea in managing their differences and negotiations to resolve trade disputes. What their dispute evolves will change the perception of Japan and South Korea on this bilateral relationship and thus affect the nature of Japan-Korea relations. Along with the growing momentum of ethnic groups and global populism in recent years, the limitations and influences of identity on national policies deserve continuous attention and further research.
>>As for the Chinese monetary authority, one effective method to promote the yuan‘s internationalization is the application of cross-border internet payment and settlement. The yuan’s exchange rate formation mechanism can connect with neighboring countries. Financial innovation has been sprouting in the internet era. Financial construction along the border is needed. While China communicates with ASEAN on political and diplomatic levels, it can also organize communication with central banks and regulatory bodies in ASEAN countries. The operation and organizational structure can learn from Facebook‘s Libra.
>>China's fiscal policies and the system of government subsidies will have to be adjusted. Other than improving the financial subsidy system, plugging loopholes, and strengthening supervision, ANBOUND pointed out necessary for the policies on financial subsidies to pay more attention to people's livelihood expenditures as well as public service spending, so that promote domestic market and optimize business environment. To enhance the subsidy’s mechanism and system, improve the design of subsidy policies and promote the improvement of market mechanisms, prevent the distortions and wastage of financial resources.
>>Urban renewal is an important carrier for rebuilding the economic power and the urban vitality of sustainable cities. It is a key area for carrying the funds from the quantitative easing policy advocated by ANBOUND, where it is used to boost urban economy. Real estate construction under the background of urban renewal is not to solve local fiscal problems, but to create an endogenous driving force of urban growth in order to achieve sustainable urban space vitality and prosperity.
>>The negative impact of the U.S.-China trade war has spilled over to the Four Asian Tigers. Countries and regions within the global trading system will not be spared, especially since they have benefited from globalization. Four Asian Tigers that erstwhile benefited from globalization have now become victims in the current global trade situation and a slowdown in demand. Although the four countries and regions are not exactly the same in terms of industrial structure and export distribution, opening-up and market economies cannot be completely immune to the effects of the U.S.-China tariff increase and the slowdown of global demand.
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